{"id":222,"date":"2026-10-15T10:50:08","date_gmt":"2026-10-15T05:20:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vindhyasatta.com\/strong-el-nino-forecast-raises-heat-stress-worry-for-rabi-wheat-as-sowing-season-begins\/"},"modified":"2026-10-15T11:00:57","modified_gmt":"2026-10-15T05:30:57","slug":"strong-el-nino-forecast-raises-heat-stress-worry-for-rabi-wheat-as-sowing-season-begins","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vindhyasatta.com\/hi\/strong-el-nino-forecast-raises-heat-stress-worry-for-rabi-wheat-as-sowing-season-begins\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0924\u0947\u091c \u090f\u0932 \u0928\u0940\u0928\u094b \u0915\u093e \u092a\u0942\u0930\u094d\u0935\u093e\u0928\u0941\u092e\u093e\u0928: \u092c\u0941\u0935\u093e\u0908 \u0936\u0941\u0930\u0942 \u0939\u094b\u0924\u0947 \u0939\u0940 \u0930\u092c\u0940 \u0917\u0947\u0939\u0942\u0902 \u092a\u0930 \u0917\u0930\u094d\u092e\u0940 \u0915\u0947 \u0924\u0928\u093e\u0935 \u0915\u0940 \u091a\u093f\u0902\u0924\u093e"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u0935\u093f\u0936\u094d\u0935 \u092e\u094c\u0938\u092e \u0935\u093f\u091c\u094d\u091e\u093e\u0928 \u0938\u0902\u0917\u0920\u0928 (\u0921\u092c\u094d\u0932\u094d\u092f\u0942\u090f\u092e\u0913) \u0928\u0947 \u0915\u0939\u093e \u0939\u0948 \u0915\u093f \u092a\u094d\u0930\u0936\u093e\u0902\u0924 \u092e\u0939\u093e\u0938\u093e\u0917\u0930 \u092e\u0947\u0902 \u091a\u0932 \u0930\u0939\u093e \u090f\u0932 \u0928\u0940\u0928\u094b \u0938\u0902\u092d\u0935\u0924\u0903 \u092c\u0939\u0941\u0924 \u092e\u091c\u092c\u0942\u0924 \u0930\u0942\u092a \u0932\u0947\u0917\u093e \u0914\u0930 \u092b\u0930\u0935\u0930\u0940 2027 \u0924\u0915 \u092c\u0928\u093e \u0930\u0939\u0947\u0917\u093e\u0964 \u0907\u0938 \u0905\u0928\u0941\u092e\u093e\u0928 \u0938\u0947 \u0909\u0938 \u0936\u0940\u0924\u0915\u093e\u0932\u0940\u0928 \u0917\u0947\u0939\u0942\u0902 \u092b\u0938\u0932 \u0915\u094b \u0932\u0947\u0915\u0930 \u091a\u093f\u0902\u0924\u093e \u092c\u0922\u093c\u0940 \u0939\u0948 \u091c\u093f\u0938\u0915\u0940 \u092c\u0941\u0935\u093e\u0908 \u092d\u093e\u0930\u0924\u0940\u092f \u0915\u093f\u0938\u093e\u0928 \u0936\u0941\u0930\u0942 \u0915\u0930\u0928\u0947 \u0935\u093e\u0932\u0947 \u0939\u0948\u0902\u0964 \u092c\u093f\u091c\u093c\u0928\u0947\u0938 \u091f\u0941\u0921\u0947 \u0915\u0940 4 \u0938\u093f\u0924\u0902\u092c\u0930 \u0915\u0940 \u0930\u093f\u092a\u094b\u0930\u094d\u091f \u0915\u0947 \u0905\u0928\u0941\u0938\u093e\u0930 \u0921\u092c\u094d\u0932\u094d\u092f\u0942\u090f\u092e\u0913 \u0915\u0940 \u092e\u0939\u093e\u0938\u091a\u093f\u0935 \u0938\u0947\u0932\u0947\u0938\u094d\u0924\u0947 \u0938\u093e\u0909\u0932\u094b \u0928\u0947 \u0915\u0939\u093e \u0915\u093f \u0938\u0902\u0917\u0920\u0928 \u0915\u094b \u0909\u092e\u094d\u092e\u0940\u0926 \u0939\u0948 \u0915\u093f \u090f\u0932 \u0928\u0940\u0928\u094b \u0915\u0947 \u092a\u094d\u0930\u092c\u0932 \u0939\u094b\u0928\u0947 \u0915\u0947 \u0938\u093e\u0925 \u0907\u0938\u0915\u0947 \u092a\u094d\u0930\u092d\u093e\u0935 \u092c\u0922\u093c\u0947\u0902\u0917\u0947\u0964<\/p>\n<p>Drishti IAS, summarising the outlook, said Pacific sea-surface temperatures were projected to run more than 2 degrees Celsius above normal, which places the event in the WMO&#8217;s highest category. Business Today added that the India Meteorological Department (IMD) also expects El Ni\u00f1o conditions to last until February 2027, and that the agency described August 2026 as the hottest August since 1901, with rainfall 16 per cent below normal.<\/p>\n<p>\u0930\u092c\u0940 \u092b\u0938\u0932\u094b\u0902 \u0915\u0947 \u0932\u093f\u090f \u0916\u093e\u0938 \u091a\u093f\u0902\u0924\u093e \u0926\u093f\u0932\u094d\u0932\u0940 \u0938\u094d\u0925\u093f\u0924 \u0925\u093f\u0902\u0915 \u091f\u0948\u0902\u0915 \u0915\u094d\u0932\u093e\u0907\u092e\u0947\u091f \u091f\u094d\u0930\u0947\u0902\u0921\u094d\u0938 \u0915\u0947 \u0928\u093f\u0937\u094d\u0915\u0930\u094d\u0937\u094b\u0902 \u0938\u0947 \u0906\u0908 \u0939\u0948, \u091c\u093f\u0928\u094d\u0939\u0947\u0902 \u092c\u093f\u091c\u093c\u0928\u0947\u0938 \u091f\u0941\u0921\u0947 \u0928\u0947 \u0909\u0926\u094d\u0927\u0943\u0924 \u0915\u093f\u092f\u093e\u0964 \u0909\u0938\u0915\u0947 \u0905\u0928\u0941\u0938\u093e\u0930 \u0909\u0924\u094d\u0924\u0930 \u092d\u093e\u0930\u0924 \u092e\u0947\u0902 \u0938\u0930\u094d\u0926\u093f\u092f\u093e\u0902 \u0938\u093f\u0915\u0941\u0921\u093c \u0930\u0939\u0940 \u0939\u0948\u0902, \u0914\u0930 \u092b\u0930\u0935\u0930\u0940 \u0938\u092c\u0938\u0947 \u0924\u0947\u091c\u0940 \u0938\u0947 \u092f\u093e\u0928\u0940 \u092a\u094d\u0930\u0924\u093f \u0926\u0936\u0915 0.69 \u0921\u093f\u0917\u094d\u0930\u0940 \u0938\u0947\u0932\u094d\u0938\u093f\u092f\u0938 \u0915\u0940 \u0926\u0930 \u0938\u0947 \u0917\u0930\u094d\u092e \u0939\u094b \u0930\u0939\u0940 \u0939\u0948, \u0907\u0938\u0915\u0947 \u092c\u093e\u0926 \u0905\u092a\u094d\u0930\u0948\u0932 0.66 \u0914\u0930 \u092e\u093e\u0930\u094d\u091a 0.58 \u0921\u093f\u0917\u094d\u0930\u0940 \u0915\u0940 \u0926\u0930 \u0938\u0947\u0964 \u0905\u0927\u094d\u092f\u092f\u0928 \u0915\u0947 \u0905\u0928\u0941\u0938\u093e\u0930 \u092f\u0947 \u092e\u0939\u0940\u0928\u0947 \u0917\u0947\u0939\u0942\u0902 \u0915\u0947 \u092a\u094d\u0930\u091c\u0928\u0928 \u0914\u0930 \u0926\u093e\u0928\u093e \u092d\u0930\u0928\u0947 \u0915\u0947 \u091a\u0930\u0923\u094b\u0902 \u0938\u0947 \u092e\u0947\u0932 \u0916\u093e\u0924\u0947 \u0939\u0948\u0902, \u091c\u093f\u0938\u0938\u0947 \u0905\u0902\u0924\u093f\u092e \u091a\u0930\u0923 \u092e\u0947\u0902 \u0917\u0930\u094d\u092e\u0940 \u0915\u0947 \u0924\u0928\u093e\u0935 \u0915\u093e \u091c\u094b\u0916\u093f\u092e \u092c\u0922\u093c\u0924\u093e \u0939\u0948 \u0914\u0930 \u092a\u094d\u0930\u092e\u0941\u0916 \u0917\u0947\u0939\u0942\u0902 \u0909\u0924\u094d\u092a\u093e\u0926\u0915 \u0907\u0932\u093e\u0915\u094b\u0902 \u092e\u0947\u0902 \u0909\u0924\u094d\u092a\u093e\u0926\u0928 \u092a\u0939\u0932\u0947 \u0938\u0947 \u092a\u094d\u0930\u092d\u093e\u0935\u093f\u0924 \u0939\u094b \u0930\u0939\u093e \u0939\u0948\u0964<\/p>\n<p>\u092c\u0941\u0935\u093e\u0908 \u0905\u092c \u0936\u0941\u0930\u0942 \u0939\u094b\u0928\u0947 \u0935\u093e\u0932\u0940 \u0939\u0948\u0964 \u0926 \u092b\u0947\u0921\u0930\u0932 \u0915\u0947 \u0905\u0928\u0941\u0938\u093e\u0930 \u0917\u0947\u0939\u0942\u0902 \u0906\u092e\u0924\u094c\u0930 \u092a\u0930 \u0905\u0915\u094d\u091f\u0942\u092c\u0930 \u0938\u0947 \u092c\u094b\u092f\u093e \u091c\u093e\u0924\u093e \u0939\u0948 \u0914\u0930 \u0905\u092a\u094d\u0930\u0948\u0932 \u0938\u0947 \u0915\u093e\u091f\u093e \u091c\u093e\u0924\u093e \u0939\u0948, \u0914\u0930 2026-27 \u092b\u0938\u0932 \u0935\u0930\u094d\u0937 \u0915\u093e \u0932\u0915\u094d\u0937\u094d\u092f 121 \u092e\u093f\u0932\u093f\u092f\u0928 \u091f\u0928 \u0939\u0948\u0964 \u092e\u0902\u0924\u094d\u0930\u093f\u092e\u0902\u0921\u0932 \u0928\u0947 2027-28 \u0915\u0947 \u0932\u093f\u090f \u0917\u0947\u0939\u0942\u0902 \u0915\u093e \u0938\u092e\u0930\u094d\u0925\u0928 \u092e\u0942\u0932\u094d\u092f 2,610 \u0930\u0941\u092a\u092f\u0947 \u092a\u094d\u0930\u0924\u093f \u0915\u094d\u0935\u093f\u0902\u091f\u0932 \u0924\u092f \u0915\u093f\u092f\u093e \u0939\u0948, \u0932\u0947\u0915\u093f\u0928 \u0938\u092e\u0930\u094d\u0925\u0928 \u092e\u0942\u0932\u094d\u092f \u0916\u0930\u0940\u0926 \u0915\u0940 \u0926\u0930 \u0939\u0948, \u0915\u092e \u0909\u092a\u091c \u0915\u0940 \u092d\u0930\u092a\u093e\u0908 \u0928\u0939\u0940\u0902\u0964<\/p>\n<p>The forecasts carry caveats. Drishti IAS said a strong El Ni\u00f1o raises the probability of below-normal monsoon rainfall but the link is not uniform every year, and The Core cited the Ministry of Earth Sciences as noting that only seven of 16 El Ni\u00f1o years since 1950 had below-normal rain. The IMD&#8217;s outlook for the northeast monsoon, issued in Chennai on 1 October, said strong El Ni\u00f1o conditions prevail, models indicate further strengthening through the end of 2026, and temperatures over most of south peninsular India are likely to stay above normal. The reports reviewed here contain no winter temperature forecast for Madhya Pradesh, and Business Today noted that the IMD had not yet issued its post-monsoon seasonal forecast when it was published.<\/p>\n<p>Among measures the WMO suggested, as summarised by Drishti IAS, are early warning systems, better climate forecasting, drought-resistant crops and improved water management. In Madhya Pradesh, Dainik Jagran has reported that wheat and gram could come under pressure if groundwater is not adequately replenished after this year&#8217;s weaker monsoon, which adds a moisture concern to the temperature one for the coming rabi season.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0921\u092c\u094d\u0932\u094d\u092f\u0942\u090f\u092e\u0913 \u0915\u093e \u0905\u0928\u0941\u092e\u093e\u0928 \u0939\u0948 \u0915\u093f \u090f\u0932 \u0928\u0940\u0928\u094b \u092c\u0939\u0941\u0924 \u092e\u091c\u092c\u0942\u0924 \u0939\u094b\u0915\u0930 \u092b\u0930\u0935\u0930\u0940 2027 \u0924\u0915 \u091f\u093f\u0915 \u0938\u0915\u0924\u093e \u0939\u0948, \u0914\u0930 \u090f\u0915 \u0925\u093f\u0902\u0915 \u091f\u0948\u0902\u0915 \u0928\u0947 \u091a\u0947\u0924\u093e\u092f\u093e \u0939\u0948 \u0915\u093f \u0938\u093f\u0915\u0941\u0921\u093c\u0924\u0940 \u0938\u0930\u094d\u0926\u093f\u092f\u093e\u0902 \u0926\u093e\u0928\u093e \u092d\u0930\u0928\u0947 \u0915\u0947 \u0926\u094c\u0930\u093e\u0928 \u0917\u0947\u0939\u0942\u0902 \u0915\u094b \u0917\u0930\u094d\u092e\u0940 \u0915\u0940 \u091a\u092a\u0947\u091f \u092e\u0947\u0902 \u0932\u093e \u0938\u0915\u0924\u0940 \u0939\u0948\u0902\u0964<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":332,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[310,97,309,308,137],"class_list":["post-222","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agriculture","tag-climate-risk","tag-el-nino","tag-heat-stress","tag-rabi-season","tag-wheat"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vindhyasatta.com\/hi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/222","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vindhyasatta.com\/hi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vindhyasatta.com\/hi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vindhyasatta.com\/hi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vindhyasatta.com\/hi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=222"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/vindhyasatta.com\/hi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/222\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":322,"href":"https:\/\/vindhyasatta.com\/hi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/222\/revisions\/322"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vindhyasatta.com\/hi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/332"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vindhyasatta.com\/hi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=222"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vindhyasatta.com\/hi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=222"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vindhyasatta.com\/hi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=222"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}